John Aldrich

 

Division of Economics

School of Social Sciences

University of Southampton

Southampton

SO17 1BJ

UK

E-mail: john.aldrich@soton.ac.uk

 

 

Room 3121  Murray Building (58) Office hours:  Wednesday 10.00-45 Thursday 3.00-45

 

 

 

Teaching:    Econ2007     Econ2032

 

 

Research Interests  History of economics, econometrics and statistics

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Websites: Economics and Statistics

 

These look best (and as I intended them) when viewed through Internet Explorer. They are not as pretty viewed through Mozilla Firefox.  Sorry!

 

Economics

Ricardo on Value

James Mill on the Gains from Trade

 

 

Statistics

 

Figures from the History of Probability and Statistics  (542 KB)  

 

 

Harold Jeffreys    Harold Jeffreys as a Statistician

 

 

Karl Pearson      Karl Pearson: A Reader's Guide

 Karl Pearson’s Hampstead home

 

Ronald Fisher    A Guide to R. A. Fisher

Ronald Fisher’s childhood home

Likelihood and Probability in R. A. Fisher’s Statistical Methods for Research Workers

Student’s review of Fisher’s Statistical Methods

E. S.  Pearson’s reviews of Fisher’s Statistical Methods

Harold Hotelling’s review of Fisher’s Statistical Methods

Leon Isserlis’s review of Fishers’ Statistical Methods

Nature review of Fisher’s Statistical Methods

BMJ review of Fisher’s Statistical Methods

 

 

JEHPS  here   I contribute  Recent Publications in the History of Probability and Statistics. See also Anders Hald (1913-2007): Writings on the History of Probability and Statistics.

 

 

Earliest Known Uses  I contribute to Jeff Miller’s Earliest Known Uses pages (Words of Mathematics and Mathematical Symbols). I have written a companion Mathematical Words: Origins and Sources  as well as pages Symbols in Probability & Statistics  and Symbols for Matrices and Vectors.

 

There are partial indexes: to these pages

Probability & Statistics on the Earliest Uses Pages

Set Theory and Logic on the Earliest Uses Pages   

Matrix and Linear Algebra  on the Earliest Uses Pages

Vector Analysis  on the Earliest Uses Pages

Calculus and Analysis on the Earliest Uses Pages

 

 

 Mathematics Genealogy Project  I have produced some notes on the history of The Mathematics PhD in the UK for the Mathematics Genealogy Project.

 

 

Talks:   (mainly for the nice pictures)

 

  •  “But you have to Remember P. J. Daniell of SheffieldPowerpoint slides. For related text see below under Published.

 

  •  P.J  Danielll of King Edward’s School and Beyond  Powerpoint slides. For related text see below under Published.

 

  • The Econometricians’ Statisticians 1895-1945   Powerpoint slides.  For related text see below under Published.

 

  • Bowley’s Bayesian Sampling Theory with Some Context. pdf  For related text see below under Under consideration

 

 

 

Selected Papers

 

 

Under consideration

  • Probability, Statistics & Political Economy in John Stuart Mill's Logic (2008)  here
  • The Enigma of Karl Pearson and  Bayesian Inference (2008) here
  • Professor A. L. Bowley’s Theory of the Representative Method (2008) here

 

  • Mathematics in the Statistical Society 1834-1934  (2010) here

 

Published

  • The Econometricians' Statisticians 1895-1945. History of Political Economy. 2010, vol 42, 111-154. Revised version of paper presented at the North American summer meeting of the Econometric Society 2007  here

 

 

  • Keynes among the Statisticians. History of Political Economy. Vol. 40 (2) , 2008, 265-316. Revised version of Southampton University Economics Discussion Paper 2006
  • Comment on S. L. Zabell's paper: On Student's 1908 paper “The probable error of a mean” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2008, vol 103, 8-11,  here
  • Information and Economics in Fisher’s Design of Experiments. International Statistical Review. Vol. 75(2), 2007, 131-149. Revised version of Southampton University Economics Discussion Paper  (2005).
  • (with Anna Staszewska) The Experiment in Macroeconometrics.  Journal of Economic Methodology. Vol 14 (2) 2007, 143-166. Revised version of Discussion Paper (2006).
  • The Statistical Education of Harold Jeffreys, International Statistical Review, Vol. 73(3), 2005, pp. 289-308. Revised version of Southampton University Economics Discussion Paper  (2003).
  • The Discovery of Comparative Advantage, Journal of the History of Economic Thought Vol 26 (3) 2004, pp. 379-399. pdf
  • The Language of the English Biometric School, International Statistical Review, Vol. 71(1), 2003, pp. 109-131. pdf
  • How Likelihood and Identification went Bayesian, International Statistical Review, Vol. 70(1), 2002, pp. 79-98.  pdf
  • Fisher’s “Inverse Probability” of 1930, International Statistical Review, Vol.68 (2), 2000, pp. 155-172.  pdf
  • The Jevonian Revolution in International Trade Theory, Journal of the History of Economic Thought,Vol 22 (1) 2000, pp. 65-84. pdf
  • Determinacy in the Linear Model: Gauss to Bose & Koopmans, International Statistical Review, Vol.67(2), 1999, pp. 211-9.  pdf
  • Doing Least Squares: Perspectives from Gauss and Yule, International Statistical Review, Vol.66 (1), 1998, pp. 61-81.  pdf
  • Multiple Regression Grumbles, pp. 153-177 in: D Conniffe ed, Roy Geary: Irish Statistician, Dublin Oaktree Press, 1997.
  • R.A. Fisher and the Making of Maximum Likelihood 1912-1922, Statistical Science Vol.12(3), 1997, pp.162-176. Project Euclid.
  • The Course of Marshall's Theorising about Demand, History of Political Economy, Vol.28(2), 1996, pp.171-218.
  • Correlations Genuine and Spurious in Pearson and Yule, Statistical Science, Vol.10(4), 1995, 364-376. pdf
  • Haavelmo's Identification Theory. Econometric Theory, Vol 10, 1994, 198-219.  pdf
  • Reiersøl, Geary and the Idea of Instrumental Variables. Economic and Social Review, 24(3), 1993, 247-274. pdf
  • Probability and Depreciation: A History of the Stochastic Approach to Index Numbers, History of Political Economy, 24(3), 1992, 657-686. pdf

 

  • Autonomy, Oxford Economic Papers, 41(1), 1989, 15-34. pdf

 

  • An Alternative Derivation of Durbin's h Test, Econometrica, 46(6), 1978, 1493-1494.  pdf

 

Discussion papers

  • Cowles Exogeneity and CORE Exogeneity, Southampton University Economics Discussion Paper  1993.
  • (with Janne Rayner) Distinguishability and Identifiability Southampton University Economics Discussion Paper  1992.

 

 

Book reviews

D. Howie (2002) Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century in History of Political Economy.

T. M. Porter (2004) Karl Pearson: the Scientific Life in a Statistical Age in American Scientist.

 

Recent Who's Who in Economics articles in the Economic Review

Thomas Robert Malthus, September 2000

Irving Fisher, November 2000

Fisher Black, February 2001

Alfred Marshall, February 2003

 

 Free sites I use

 

Electronic Journal for History of Probability and Statistics/Journal Electronique d'Histoire des Probabilités et de la Statistique. 

Bayesian Analysis

 COPAC  merged online catalogues of 24 major university research libraries in the UK and Ireland PLUS the British Library, the National Library of Scotland, and the National Library of Wales.

World Cat

 DML: Digital Mathematics Library   retrodigitized Mathematics Journals and Monographs.

 Google scholar

 Google book search

 European Library

 History of Statistics

Societies for the History of Economics

Discussion: math-history-list

Historia-Matematica (Inactive but archive survives)

SAO/NASA ADS Astronomy journals

Economists' Papers Project at Duke University

Iowa State University Statistical Collections Guide

Economists’ Papers